January 28, 2025

Trading Desk Insights

BTC is showing signs of stabilization, with prices rebounding to $103,000. Market sentiment remains positive as long as the price stays above the key $100,000 level. The recent negative funding rate, observed in the last two occurrences recently, has provided solid buying opportunities as the market temporarily bottomed out. XRP is leading the recovery among the top cryptocurrencies, up 10%, followed by ADA at +6% and SOL at +3%. AI coins faced significant pressure on Monday, although TAO stood out with a 5% gain. The altcoin market cap saw an 8% drop yesterday but has since regained those losses.

Metaplanet Inc., a prominent Japanese Bitcoin firm, unveiled plans on Tuesday to strengthen its position as a global leader in corporate Bitcoin holdings. The firm intends to raise $745 million through the issuance of 21 million shares, setting a new record for Asia's largest-ever equity capital raise for Bitcoin.

In equity markets, futures edged higher early Tuesday, following a sell-off driven by concerns over the emergence of Chinese AI startup DeepSeek and its potential impact on the broader AI sector. Nvidia is showing signs of recovery after experiencing the largest market cap loss in history.

The News Room

Trump-Era Executive Order Sparks EU Concerns Over USD Stablecoin Dominance

The European Union has raised concerns over the dominance of US dollar-backed stablecoins, which account for 97% of the global stablecoin market, following a Trump-era executive order promoting US leadership in digital financial technology. European Central Bank board member Piero Cipollone emphasized the need for a digital euro to preserve Europe’s financial autonomy and reduce reliance on USD-dominated payment systems. The executive order supports the growth of dollar-backed stablecoins while banning central bank digital currencies (CBDCs) in the US, a move critics argue aims to solidify US dollar supremacy in global financial markets. Cipollone underscored the urgency for the EU to strengthen its financial infrastructure as reliance on US-based systems grows.

Metaplanet Seeks to Raise $700M for Bitcoin Acquisition

Japanese firm Metaplanet has announced plans to raise approximately $745 million (116 billion yen) to purchase Bitcoin, aiming to acquire 21,000 BTC by the end of 2026. The company issued 21 million moving strike warrants as part of the largest Bitcoin-focused capital raise in Asia. Metaplanet’s strategy seeks to counter the yen’s declining value and position the company as a leader in Japan's Bitcoin adoption. Already the 15th-largest corporate Bitcoin holder, Metaplanet reported exponential growth since adopting Bitcoin as a core treasury asset, including a 309% BTC yield in Q4 2024. CEO Simon Gerovich highlighted the company’s ambition to lead Japan’s Bitcoin renaissance and become a top global corporate BTC holder.

Arizona Senate Advances Legislation to Establish Bitcoin Reserve

The Arizona Senate Finance Committee has passed the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve Act (SB1025), which would allow public funds and pensions to allocate up to 10% of their capital into Bitcoin and other digital assets. The bill, co-sponsored by Senator Wendy Rogers, aims to create a secure reserve for government Bitcoin holdings and marks a significant shift toward integrating cryptocurrency into state financial strategies. Proponents argue the move could inspire similar initiatives in other states, while critics highlight the risks of Bitcoin’s volatility for taxpayers. The legislation now moves to the Senate Rules Committee for further debate. If enacted, it could drive broader institutional adoption and potentially impact Bitcoin’s market value significantly.

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This research is for informational use only. This is not investment advice. Other than disclosures relating to Secure Digital Markets this research is based on current public information that we consider reliable, but we do not represent it is accurate or complete, and it should not be relied on as such. The information, opinions, estimates, and forecasts contained herein are as of the date hereof and are subject to change without prior notification. We seek to update our research as appropriate.

Any forecasts contained herein are for illustrative purposes only and are not to be relied upon as advice or interpreted as a recommendation. The price of crypto assets may rise or fall because of changes in the broad market or changes in a company's financial condition, sometimes rapidly or unpredictably. Past performance is not a guide to future performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments. We and our affiliates, officers, directors, and employees, excluding equity and credit analysts, will from time to time have long or short positions in, act as principal in, and buy or sell, the securities or derivatives, if any, referred to in this research.

The information on which the analysis is based has been obtained from sources believed to be reliable such as, for example, the company’s financial statements filed with a regulator, company website, company white paper, pitchbook and any other sources. While Secure Digital Markets has obtained data, statistics, and information from sources it believes to be reliable, it does not perform an audit or seek independent verification of any of the data, statistics, and information it receives.

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