Italy's tax authority plans to raise the capital gains tax on bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies to 42%, up from the current rate of 26% on gains over €2,000. Vice Economy Minister Maurizio Leo announced the increase as part of the country's 2025 budget plans. The move aims to generate resources for supporting families, youth, and businesses. Italy had previously introduced a 26% tax on crypto capital gains starting in 2023, replacing lower rates applied when crypto was treated as foreign currency. The hike comes amid broader global discussions on increasing taxes on cryptocurrencies.
Former U.S. President Donald Trump's odds of winning the upcoming election have surged to 57.9% on the decentralized prediction platform Polymarket, giving him a 16% lead over Democratic candidate Kamala Harris, whose odds stand at 41.8%. As of Tuesday night, the Polymarket bet on the November election has amassed over $1.92 billion in volume. Trump's rise follows his recent lead regain earlier this month, while national polls from FiveThirtyEight still show Harris slightly ahead at 48.5%. Analysts have suggested that Polymarket users may be betting based on probabilities rather than political bias.
Grayscale Investments has filed with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission to convert its mixed-crypto fund, which includes bitcoin, ether, solana, XRP, and Avalanche, into an exchange-traded fund (ETF). The Digital Large Cap Fund (GDLC), which currently trades over the counter with $524 million in assets under management, is primarily composed of bitcoin (75%) and Ethereum (19%), along with smaller portions of solana, XRP, and Avalanche. This move follows Grayscale's previous conversions of Bitcoin and Ethereum funds into ETFs, reflecting the firm's ongoing effort to broaden crypto asset accessibility for investors.
Bitcoin is currently challenging its previous peak at $68,000, with market sentiment bolstered by increased speculation of a potential victory for Trump in the upcoming election, which has significantly boosted demand for Bitcoin exposure. Over the past week, Bitcoin has consistently outpaced equity markets in performance. A notable surge in activity is evident as Bitcoin’s futures open interest on the CME has soared to a record 172,430 BTC, equivalent to $11.6 billion, indicating robust bullish sentiment among active traders.
The options market is displaying a pronounced bullish tilt for both Bitcoin and the US dollar in the near term. Typically, Bitcoin exhibits an inverse correlation with the dollar index (DXY); however, this relationship might diverge as we approach the U.S. elections, according to current options market trends.
Bitcoin's market dominance has escalated to new heights, hitting 58.95%, a level last observed in April 2021. This increase is primarily due to Ethereum’s lackluster performance, with the ETHBTC ratio poised to hit its lowest since April 2021, signaling a potential new low.
Despite a shift in focus from Ethereum to other blockchains like Solana, Aptos, or Sui, Ethereum remains central to the stablecoin market and tokenization initiatives. Upcoming technical enhancements aimed at improving transaction efficiency and lowering costs on the Ethereum network are likely to draw further investments into Ethereum-based offerings. Moreover, as regulatory frameworks evolve globally, Ethereum’s more mature regulatory standing could provide it with a competitive advantage over newer blockchain technologies.
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